Our Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Prediction: 1-2
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 17:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 28, 2026. Our correct score prediction favors a 1-2 away triumph, but considering both teams’ attacking strengths, BTTS is a highly likely scenario.
This Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Borussia Dortmund's Last Match – Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund will aim to put their last result behind them following a 1-4 UEFA Champions League loss to Atalanta on February 25. In that match, Borussia Dortmund controlled 56% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atalanta | 44% | 14 (8) | 2.48 | 42 |
 Borussia Dortmund | 56% | 8 (4) | 0.93 | 29 |
Bayern Munich's Last Match – Bayern Munich vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Bayern Munich will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 3-2 Germany Bundesliga I victory over Eintracht Frankfurt on February 21. In that match, Bayern Munich had 51% possession and 15 attempts at goal, with 11 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bayern Munich | 51% | 15 (11) | 2.78 | 65 |
 Eintracht Frankfurt | 49% | 8 (3) | 2.34 | 27 |
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Stats
Key Stats
| Borussia Dortmund | Bayern Munich | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.39 | Attacking Strength | 2.26 |
| 0.53 | Defence Strength | 0.42 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 2.5 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 8/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 2.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Borussia Dortmund are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Bayern Munich average 2.8 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Borussia Dortmund 20-15
Bayern Munich 28-10
What are the odds for this match?
Borussia Dortmund to win: @4.5
Draw: @4.75
Bayern Munich to win: @1.6
Lineups
Borussia Dortmund (3-4-2-1) : Gregor Kobel, Emre Can, Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck, Yan Couto, Marcel Sabitzer, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson, Maximilian Beier, Karim Adeyemi, Fabio Silva
Bayern Munich (4-2-3-1) : Jonas Urbig, Josip Stanisic, Dayot Upamecano, Jonathan Tah, Konrad Laimer, Joshua Kimmich, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Michael Olise, Serge Gnabry, Luis Diaz, Harry Kane