Our Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo Prediction: 1-0
Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo in the Argentina Liga Profesional is scheduled for an 22:45 GMT kick-off on Wednesday March 11, 2026. With both defenses expected to hold firm, a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors seems the most probable outcome against San Lorenzo.
This Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Boca Juniors's Last Match – Lanus vs Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors will look to carry forward their winning form after a 3-0 Argentina Liga Profesional success over Lanus on March 5. In that match, Boca Juniors had 52% possession and 8 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lanus | 48% | 6 (3) | 0.48 | 55 |
 Boca Juniors | 52% | 8 (5) | 0.9 | 30 |
San Lorenzo's Last Match – CA Talleres de Córdoba vs San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo will look to build on their last result following a 0-0 Argentina Liga Profesional stalemate against CA Talleres de Córdoba on March 1. In that match, San Lorenzo saw 43% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 CA Talleres de Córdoba | 57% | 14 (6) | 1.3 | 56 |
 San Lorenzo | 43% | 8 (5) | 0.64 | 45 |
Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo Stats
Key Stats
| Boca Juniors | San Lorenzo | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Attacking Strength | 0.73 |
| 0.24 | Defence Strength | 0.82 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 1/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 0.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Boca Juniors are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, while San Lorenzo average 0.7 scored and 0.6 conceded per game.
Boca Juniors 13-6
San Lorenzo 7-6
What are the odds for this match?
Boca Juniors to win: @1.65
Draw: @3.4
San Lorenzo to win: @6.5
Lineups
Boca Juniors (4-4-2) : Agustin Marchesin, Marcelo Weigandt, Lautaro Di Lollo, Ayrton Costa, Lautaro Blanco, Santiago Ascacibar, Leandro Paredes, Milton Delgado, Tomas Aranda, Adam Bareiro, Miguel Merentiel
San Lorenzo (4-2-3-1) : Orlando Gill, Ezequiel Herrera, Jhohan Romana, Gaston Hernandez, Mathias de Ritis, Nicolas Tripichio, Ignacio Peruzzi, Agustin Ladstatter, Facundo Gulli, Ezequiel Cerutti, Alexis Cuello
Independiente Rivadavia 
CA Tigre 
Rosario Central 
Belgrano 
Gimnasia LP 
Racing Club 
Huracan 
River Plate 
Argentinos Jrs 
Banfield 
Sarmiento 
Barracas Central 
Atlético Tucumán 
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 
CA Aldosivi