Our Merthyr Town vs Bedford Town Prediction: 3-2
Merthyr Town vs Bedford Town in the England National League North is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 14, 2026. Our correct score prediction favors a 3-2 home triumph, but considering recent goal trends, betting on over 2.5 goals also makes sense.
This Merthyr Town vs Bedford Town prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Merthyr Town's Last Match – Kidderminster vs Merthyr Town
Merthyr Town must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 0-0 England National League North draw against Kidderminster on February 10. In that match, Merthyr Town controlled 50% of possession and managed 0 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kidderminster | 50% | 0 (1) | - | 0 |
 Merthyr Town | 50% | 0 (0) | - | 0 |
Bedford Town's Last Match – Bedford Town vs Chester
After suffering a 1-2 England National League North loss to Chester, Bedford Town must win to get back on track. In that match, Bedford Town saw 46% of the ball and 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bedford Town | 46% | 0 (4) | - | 30 |
 Chester | 54% | 0 (3) | - | 29 |
Merthyr Town vs Bedford Town Stats
Key Stats
| Merthyr Town | Bedford Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.56 | Attacking Strength | 1.06 |
| 1.06 | Defence Strength | 1.02 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Merthyr Town are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Bedford Town average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Merthyr Town 17-17
Bedford Town 15-17
What are the odds for this match?
Merthyr Town to win: @1.833
Draw: @3.7
Bedford Town to win: @3.4