Our TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction: 3-3
TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 17, 2026. We predict a tightly contested 2-2 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
TSG Hoffenheim's Last Match – TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia M'gladbach
TSG Hoffenheim will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 5-1 Germany Bundesliga I victory over Borussia M'gladbach on January 14. In that match, TSG Hoffenheim controlled 66% of possession and managed 16 shots on goal, with 10 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 TSG Hoffenheim | 66% | 16 (10) | 3.29 | 66 |
 Borussia M'gladbach | 34% | 6 (5) | 0.86 | 32 |
Bayer Leverkusen's Last Match – Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart
After suffering a 1-4 Germany Bundesliga I loss to VfB Stuttgart, Bayer Leverkusen must win to get back on track. In that match, Bayer Leverkusen recorded 58% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bayer Leverkusen | 58% | 9 (4) | 1.91 | 47 |
 VfB Stuttgart | 42% | 10 (7) | 2.59 | 45 |
TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Stats
Key Stats
| TSG Hoffenheim | Bayer Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.35 | Attacking Strength | 1.34 |
| 1.28 | Defence Strength | 1.17 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.4 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
TSG Hoffenheim are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Bayer Leverkusen average 2.1 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
TSG Hoffenheim 24-11
Bayer Leverkusen 21-12
What are the odds for this match?
TSG Hoffenheim to win: @2.4
Draw: @3.8
Bayer Leverkusen to win: @2.7
Lineups
TSG Hoffenheim (4-2-3-1) : Oliver Baumann, Vladimir Coufal, Robin Hranac, Albian Hajdari, Bernardo, Leon Avdullahu, Wouter Burger, Andrej Kramaric, Fisnik Asllani, Alexander Prass, Tim Lemperle
Bayer Leverkusen (3-4-2-1) : Mark Flekken, Robert Andrich, Loic Bade, Jarell Quansah, Arthur, Ezequiel Fernandez, Aleix Garcia, Alex Grimaldo, Malik Tillman, Ernest Poku, Patrik Schick