Our Lucerne vs Basel Prediction: 2-3
Lucerne vs Basel in the Switzerland Super League is scheduled for an 15:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday February 22, 2026. We predict a 2-3 away victory, but with both teams capable of scoring, over 2.5 goals is another strong betting option.
This Lucerne vs Basel prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Lucerne's Last Match – FC Zurich vs Lucerne
Determined to maintain their recent success, Lucerne must win following their 4-1 Switzerland Super League victory against FC Zurich on February 14. In that match, Lucerne had 46% possession and 16 attempts at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 FC Zurich | 54% | 11 (6) | 1.46 | 47 |
 Lucerne | 46% | 16 (8) | 3.51 | 29 |
Basel's Last Match – Basel vs Lugano
Basel will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 Switzerland Super League draw with Lugano on February 15. In that match, Basel saw 44% of the ball and created 9 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Basel | 44% | 9 (3) | 2.55 | 45 |
 Lugano | 56% | 11 (4) | 0.57 | 39 |
Lucerne vs Basel Stats
Key Stats
| Lucerne | Basel | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.35 | Attacking Strength | 1.23 |
| 1.73 | Defence Strength | 0.79 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Lucerne are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Basel average 1.5 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.
Lucerne 22-18
Basel 15-19
What are the odds for this match?
Lucerne to win: @2.5
Draw: @3.6
Basel to win: @2.6
Lineups
Lucerne (4-3-1-2) : Pascal David Loretz, Pius Dorn, Mauricio Willimann, Adrian Bajrami, Ruben Dantas Fernandes, Tyron Owusu, Taisei Abe, Matteo Di Giusto, Lucas Ferreira, Julian Von Moos, Oscar Kabwit
Basel (4-2-3-1) : Mirko Salvi, Keigo Tsunemoto, Marvin Akahomen, Nicolas Vouilloz, Dominik Robin Schmid, Leo Leroy, Bacanin Andrej, Benie Adama Traore, Xherdan Shaqiri, Ibrahim Salah, Giacomo Koloto
FC Thun 
St Gallen 
Lugano 
Basel 
FC Sion 
Young Boys 
Lucerne 
Lausanne Sports 
Servette 
FC Zurich 
Grasshoppers 
Winterthur