Oaxaca vs Atletico Morelia Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Oaxaca vs Atletico Morelia Prediction: 1-2

Oaxaca vs Atletico Morelia in the Mexico Liga de Expansion is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 17, 2026. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our main prediction, but with both teams expected to find the net, BTTS is another solid wager.

Our prediction is supported by key Oaxaca vs Atletico Morelia stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.

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Recent Form Insights

Oaxaca's Last Match – Oaxaca vs Chapulineros de Oaxaca

Oaxaca will hope to extend their good run following a 2-1 America Friendlies win against Chapulineros de Oaxaca on January 5. In that match, Oaxaca controlled 52% of possession and managed 5 shots on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Oaxaca	52%	0 (5)	-	40
Chapulineros de Oaxaca	48%	0 (3)	-	33

Atletico Morelia's Last Match – Atletico Morelia vs Correcaminos

Atletico Morelia will look to carry forward their winning form after a 3-0 Mexico Liga de Expansion success over Correcaminos on January 11. In that match, Atletico Morelia had 65% possession and 8 shots on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Atletico Morelia	65%	0 (8)	-	65
Correcaminos	35%	0 (1)	-	26

Oaxaca vs Atletico Morelia Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Oaxaca are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Atletico Morelia average 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded per game.

What are the odds for this match?

Oaxaca to win: @2.875

Draw: @3.7

Atletico Morelia to win: @2.25

Oaxaca Fixtures

Atletico Morelia Fixtures