Our Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction: 1-1
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 22, 2026. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 1-1 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
This Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Real Madrid's Last Match – Real Madrid vs Man City
Real Madrid will look to carry forward their winning form after a 3-0 UEFA Champions League success over Man City on March 11. In that match, Real Madrid controlled 40% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Madrid | 40% | 8 (7) | 2.59 | 24 |
 Man City | 60% | 6 (4) | 0.56 | 74 |
Atletico Madrid's Last Match – Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham
Determined to maintain their recent success, Atletico Madrid must win following their 5-2 UEFA Champions League victory against Tottenham on March 10. In that match, Atletico Madrid had 58% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atletico Madrid | 58% | 9 (7) | 3.11 | 38 |
 Tottenham | 42% | 8 (5) | 1.41 | 21 |
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Stats
Key Stats
| Real Madrid | Atletico Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.59 | Attacking Strength | 0.88 |
| 0.7 | Defence Strength | 0.6 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 2.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Real Madrid are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Atletico Madrid average 2.4 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Real Madrid 19-11
Atletico Madrid 24-17
What are the odds for this match?
Real Madrid to win: @1.9
Draw: @3.7
Atletico Madrid to win: @3.6
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