Our Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Prediction: 3-2
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid in the Spain Copa del Rey is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday March 3, 2026. Our analysis favors a 3-2 home win, but considering the likelihood of multiple goals, over 2.5 goals is also a solid wager.
This Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Barcelona's Last Match – Barcelona vs Villarreal
Barcelona will want to continue their winning form after a 4-1 Spain La Liga victory over Villarreal, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Barcelona recorded 74% possession, firing 6 shots at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Barcelona | 74% | 6 (8) | 2.88 | 82 |
 Villarreal | 26% | 2 (1) | 1.28 | 35 |
Atletico Madrid's Last Match – Oviedo vs Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 1-0 Spain La Liga victory over Oviedo in their last outing. In that match, Atletico Madrid saw 62% of the ball and created 3 goal attempts, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Oviedo | 38% | 11 (6) | 1.08 | 47 |
 Atletico Madrid | 62% | 3 (1) | 0.59 | 49 |
Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid Stats
Key Stats
| Barcelona | Atletico Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.39 | Attacking Strength | 1.22 |
| 0.76 | Defence Strength | 1.07 |
| 2.4 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 8/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 10/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2.7 | Average Scored | 2.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Barcelona are averaging 2.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Atletico Madrid average 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Barcelona 27-12
Atletico Madrid 22-12
What are the odds for this match?
Barcelona to win: @1.444
Draw: @5
Atletico Madrid to win: @6
Lineups
Barcelona (4-2-3-1) : Joan Garcia, Jules Kounde, Pau Cubarsi, Gerard Martin, Joao Cancelo, Marc Bernal, Pedri, Lamine Yamal, Fermín Lopez, Raphinha, Ferran Torres
Atletico Madrid (4-4-2) : Juan Musso, Marcos Llorente, Marc Pubill, David Hancko, Matteo Ruggeri, Giuliano Simeone, Johnny Cardoso, Koke, Ademola Lookman, Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez