Our Athletico Paranaense vs Santos Prediction: 1-1
Athletico Paranaense vs Santos in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 22:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday February 12, 2026. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
Our prediction is supported by key Athletico Paranaense vs Santos stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Athletico Paranaense's Last Match – Foz Do Iguacu vs Athletico Paranaense
Athletico Paranaense will hope to extend their good run following a 3-1 Brazil Campeonato Paranaense win against Foz Do Iguacu on February 7. In that match, Athletico Paranaense recorded 44% possession, firing 8 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Foz Do Iguacu | 56% | 0 (7) | - | 65 |
 Athletico Paranaense | 44% | 0 (8) | - | 47 |
Santos's Last Match – Noroeste vs Santos
Santos must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-1 Brazil Campeonato Paulista victory over Noroeste in their last outing. In that match, Santos controlled 71% of possession and managed 9 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Noroeste | 29% | 9 (6) | 1.25 | 26 |
 Santos | 71% | 9 (5) | 1.12 | 55 |
Athletico Paranaense vs Santos Stats
Key Stats
| Athletico Paranaense | Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.72 | Attacking Strength | 1.23 |
| 1.04 | Defence Strength | 1.12 |
| 2.3 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Athletico Paranaense are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Santos average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Athletico Paranaense 20-7
Santos 12-12
Lineups
Athletico Paranaense (3-4-3) : Santos, Carlos Teran, Arthur Dias, Lucas Esquivel, Gaston Benavidez, Juan Portilla, Bruno Zapelli, Leonardo Derik, Stiven Mendoza, Kevin Viveros, Julimar
Santos (4-3-3) : Gabriel Brazao, Igor Vinicius, Ze Ivaldo, Luan Peres, Vinicius Rodrigues Lira, Gabriel Menino, Joao Schmidt, Gabriel Morais Silva Bontempo, Rony, Thaciano, Miguelito
Palmeiras 
Sao Paulo 
EC Bahia 
Corinthians 
Fluminense 
Athletico Paranaense 
Bragantino 
Gremio 
Mirassol 
Chapecoense 
Atletico Mineiro 
Santos 
Flamengo 
Coritiba 
Vitoria 
Botafogo 
Clube Do Remo 
Internacional 
Cruzeiro 
Vasco da Gama