Our Chapecoense vs Athletico Paranaense Prediction: 3-2
Chapecoense vs Athletico Paranaense in the Brazil Serie B is scheduled for an 00:35 GMT kick-off on Wednesday September 17, 2025. A 3-2 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
Our prediction is supported by key performance data, betting odds and match insights — everything you need is right below to make smarter bets.
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Recent Form Insights
Chapecoense's Last Match – Criciuma vs Chapecoense
Chapecoense will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-2 Brazil Serie B defeat at the hands of Criciuma on September 7. In that match, Chapecoense controlled 40% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Criciuma | 60% | 9 (5) | 1.31 | 39 |
 Chapecoense | 40% | 10 (4) | 1.54 | 43 |
Athletico Paranaense's Last Match – Corinthians vs Athletico Paranaense
Athletico Paranaense will look to get back on track following a 0-2 Copa do Brasil loss against Corinthians on September 11. In that match, Athletico Paranaense saw 48% of the ball and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Corinthians | 52% | 0 (3) | 1.2 | 34 |
 Athletico Paranaense | 48% | 0 (2) | 1.13 | 41 |
Chapecoense vs Athletico Paranaense Stats
Key Stats
| Chapecoense | Athletico Paranaense | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.82 | Attacking Strength | 1.83 |
| 1.29 | Defence Strength | 1.35 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Chapecoense are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Athletico Paranaense average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Chapecoense 17-9
Athletico Paranaense 12-13
What are the odds for this match?
Chapecoense to win: @2.7
Draw: @3.1
Athletico Paranaense to win: @2.7
Lineups
Chapecoense (3-4-1-2) : Leo Vieira, Doma, Bressan, Joao Paulo, Everton Souza da Cruz, Rafael Carvalheira, Bruno Matias dos Santos, Walter Clar, Giovanni Augusto, Neto Pessoa, Marcinho
Athletico Paranaense (3-4-3) : Santos, Arthur Dias, Juan Felipe Aguirre, Lucas Esquivel, Gaston Benavidez, Bruno Zapelli, Patrick, Leonardo Derik, Stiven Mendoza, Kevin Viveros, Kogitzki Dudu