Our Athletic Club MG vs Vila Nova Prediction: 2-1
Athletic Club MG vs Vila Nova in the Brazil Serie B is scheduled for an 01:30 GMT kick-off on Wednesday May 7, 2025. Our correct score prediction favors a 2-1 home triumph, but considering both teams’ ability to find the net, BTTS is also a solid alternative bet.
Our prediction is supported by key Athletic Club MG vs Vila Nova stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Athletic Club MG's Last Match – Athletic Club MG vs Volta Redonda
Determined to maintain their recent success, Athletic Club MG must win following their 2-1 Brazil Serie B victory against Volta Redonda on April 27. In that match, Athletic Club MG saw 43% of the ball and created 5 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Athletic Club MG | 43% | 5 (5) | 1.07 | 42 |
 Volta Redonda | 57% | 8 (4) | 0.52 | 42 |
Vila Nova's Last Match – Cruzeiro vs Vila Nova
Vila Nova will hope to recover from their recent 0-2 Copa do Brasil setback against Cruzeiro on May 2. In that match, Vila Nova had 40% possession and 7 attempts at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cruzeiro | 60% | 14 (4) | 2.22 | 62 |
 Vila Nova | 40% | 7 (1) | 0.28 | 22 |
Athletic Club MG vs Vila Nova Stats
Key Stats
| Athletic Club MG | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.16 | Attacking Strength | 0.57 |
| 1.7 | Defence Strength | 1.62 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 1/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Athletic Club MG are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Vila Nova average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
Athletic Club MG 16-18
Vila Nova 15-7
What are the odds for this match?
Athletic Club MG to win: @2.35
Draw: @2.9
Vila Nova to win: @3.4
Lineups
Athletic Club MG (4-2-3-1) : Jefferson Luis Szerban de Oliveira Junior, Douglas Pele, Gabriel Ferreira Dias, Sidimar, Rodrigo Gelado, Amorim, Diego Cesar de Oliveira, Max, Matheus Guilherme Montagnine, Ezequiel, Arnaldo Francisco da Costa Neto
Vila Nova (4-4-2) : Halls, Elias, Tiago Pagnussat, Bernardo Schappo, Willian Formiga, Joao Vieira, Igor Henrique, Vinicius Paiva, Gabriel Santos Silva, Gabriel Buscariol Poveda, Diego Torres