Our Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction: 1-1
Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao in the Spain Copa del Rey is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday March 4, 2026. A 1-1 result is our main prediction, but with both teams likely to score, BTTS is another strong betting choice.
This Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Exact Score Tips
Recent Form Insights
Real Sociedad's Last Match – Mallorca vs Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad will seek to keep their streak alive after a 1-0 Spain La Liga victory over Mallorca on February 28. In that match, Real Sociedad saw 56% of the ball and created 5 goal attempts, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mallorca | 44% | 1 (1) | 0.67 | 66 |
 Real Sociedad | 56% | 5 (2) | 0.45 | 43 |
Athletic Bilbao's Last Match – Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao will look to build on their last result following a 1-1 Spain La Liga stalemate against Rayo Vallecano on February 28. In that match, Athletic Bilbao recorded 50% possession, firing 4 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rayo Vallecano | 50% | 9 (7) | 1.33 | 29 |
 Athletic Bilbao | 50% | 4 (2) | 0.53 | 40 |
Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao Stats
Key Stats
| Real Sociedad | Athletic Bilbao | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.32 | Attacking Strength | 1.12 |
| 0.56 | Defence Strength | 0.66 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Real Sociedad are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Athletic Bilbao average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Real Sociedad 20-15
Athletic Bilbao 18-15
What are the odds for this match?
Real Sociedad to win: @2.2
Draw: @3.3
Athletic Bilbao to win: @3.25
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.775
Lineups
Real Sociedad (4-2-3-1) : Unai Marrero, Jon Aramburu, Jon Martin, Igor Zubeldia, Sergio Gomez, Jon Gorrotxategi, Benat Turrientes, Goncalo Guedes, Carlos Soler, Ander Barrenetxea, Mikel Oyarzabal
Athletic Bilbao (4-2-3-1) : Alex Padilla, Dani Vivian, Aitor Paredes, Aymeric Laporte, Yuri Berchiche, Alejandro Rego Mora, Mikel Jauregizar, Inaki Williams, Oihan Sancet, Alex Berenguer, Gorka Guruzeta