Our Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction: 1-1
Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao in the Spain La Liga is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 28, 2026. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 1-1 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
This Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Exact Score Tips
Recent Form Insights
Rayo Vallecano's Last Match – Real Betis vs Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 Spain La Liga share of the spoils with Real Betis on February 21. In that match, Rayo Vallecano recorded 53% possession, firing 6 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Betis | 47% | 8 (3) | 1.83 | 49 |
 Rayo Vallecano | 53% | 6 (3) | 0.83 | 51 |
Athletic Bilbao's Last Match – Athletic Bilbao vs Elche
Determined to maintain their recent success, Athletic Bilbao must win following their 2-1 Spain La Liga victory against Elche on February 20. In that match, Athletic Bilbao controlled 46% of possession and managed 12 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Athletic Bilbao | 46% | 12 (8) | 3.18 | 64 |
 Elche | 54% | 2 (2) | 0.82 | 29 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Stats
Key Stats
| Rayo Vallecano | Athletic Bilbao | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.66 | Attacking Strength | 0.88 |
| 0.7 | Defence Strength | 1.11 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Rayo Vallecano are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Athletic Bilbao average 1.9 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Rayo Vallecano 12-18
Athletic Bilbao 19-17
What are the odds for this match?
Rayo Vallecano to win: @2.4
Draw: @3.1
Athletic Bilbao to win: @3.2
Lineups
Rayo Vallecano (4-3-3) : Augusto Batalla, Andrei Ratiu, Florian Lejeune, Nobel Mendy, Alfonso Espino, Isi Palazon, Pathe Ciss, Gerard Gumbau, Ilias Akhomach, Jorge De Frutos, Alvaro Garcia
Athletic Bilbao (4-2-3-1) : Unai Simon, Jesus Areso, Dani Vivian, Aymeric Laporte, Yuri Berchiche, Inigo Ruiz De Galarreta, Mikel Jauregizar, Inaki Williams, Oihan Sancet, Unai Gomez, Gorka Guruzeta
Barcelona 
Real Madrid 
Atletico Madrid 
Villarreal 
Real Betis 
Celta Vigo 
Espanyol 
Real Sociedad 
Getafe 
Athletic Bilbao 
Osasuna 
Valencia 
Rayo Vallecano 
Sevilla 
Girona 
CD Alaves 
Elche 
Mallorca 
Levante 
Oviedo