Our Newcastle vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction: 4-1
Newcastle vs Athletic Bilbao in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday November 5, 2025. A 4-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This Newcastle vs Athletic Bilbao prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Newcastle's Last Match – West Ham vs Newcastle
Newcastle must win to recover from their recent 1-3 England Premier League defeat against West Ham on November 2 and regain momentum.
Athletic Bilbao's Last Match – Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao
After suffering a 2-3 Spain La Liga loss to Real Sociedad, Athletic Bilbao must win to get back on track. In that match, Athletic Bilbao controlled 49% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Sociedad | 51% | 6 (5) | 0.49 | 34 |
 Athletic Bilbao | 49% | 6 (4) | 0.65 | 40 |
Newcastle vs Athletic Bilbao Stats
Key Stats
| Newcastle | Athletic Bilbao | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.95 | Attacking Strength | 0.7 |
| 0.84 | Defence Strength | 2.12 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Newcastle are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Athletic Bilbao average 0.9 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Newcastle 20-9
Athletic Bilbao 9-16
What are the odds for this match?
Newcastle to win: @1.5
Draw: @4.2
Athletic Bilbao to win: @6.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825
Lineups
Newcastle (4-3-3) : Nick Pope, Kieran Trippier, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Dan Burn, Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton, Harvey Barnes, Nick Woltemade, Anthony Gordon
Athletic Bilbao (4-2-3-1) : Unai Simon, Jesus Areso, Dani Vivian, Aitor Paredes, Adama Boiro, Mikel Jauregizar, Alejandro Rego Mora, Alex Berenguer, Mikel Vesga, Robert Navarro, Unai Gomez