Our Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction: 1-1
Aston Villa vs Chelsea in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Wednesday March 4, 2026. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
Our prediction is supported by key Aston Villa vs Chelsea stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Aston Villa's Last Match – Wolverhampton vs Aston Villa
Aston Villa will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-2 England Premier League loss to Wolverhampton on February 27. In that match, Aston Villa saw 61% of the ball and created 6 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Wolverhampton | 39% | 6 (2) | 0.97 | 15 |
 Aston Villa | 61% | 6 (5) | 1.06 | 62 |
Chelsea's Last Match – Arsenal vs Chelsea
Chelsea must win to recover from their recent 1-2 England Premier League defeat against Arsenal on March 1 and regain momentum. In that match, Chelsea controlled 59% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arsenal | 41% | 8 (5) | 1.13 | 66 |
 Chelsea | 59% | 8 (3) | 1.04 | 55 |
Aston Villa vs Chelsea Stats
Key Stats
| Aston Villa | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.98 | Attacking Strength | 1.19 |
| 0.48 | Defence Strength | 0.78 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 2/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Aston Villa are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Chelsea average 2.1 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Aston Villa 10-11
Chelsea 21-12
What are the odds for this match?
Aston Villa to win: @2.7
Draw: @3.4
Chelsea to win: @2.55
Lineups
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1) : Emiliano Martinez, Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Tyrone Mings, Ian Maatsen, Amadou Onana, Douglas Luiz, Leon Bailey, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendia, Ollie Watkins
Chelsea (4-2-3-1) : Filip Jorgensen, Malo Gusto, Wesley Fofana, Trevoh Chalobah, Jorrel Hato, Reece James, Moises Caicedo, Cole Palmer, Enzo Fernandez, Alejandro Garnacho, Joao Pedro
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