Our Port Vale vs Arsenal Prediction: 1-3
Port Vale vs Arsenal in the England EFL Cup is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday September 24, 2025. A 1-3 win for the visitors is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals seems like a solid bet given both teams' attacking form.
This Port Vale vs Arsenal prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Port Vale's Last Match – Port Vale vs Mansfield
Port Vale must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-1 England League 1 victory over Mansfield in their last outing. In that match, Port Vale controlled 75% of possession and managed 8 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Port Vale | 75% | 0 (8) | 2.68 | 100 |
 Mansfield | 25% | 0 (1) | 0.08 | 13 |
Arsenal's Last Match – Arsenal vs Man City
Arsenal will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 England Premier League draw against Man City on September 21. In that match, Arsenal saw 67% of the ball and created 9 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arsenal | 67% | 9 (3) | 0.96 | 66 |
 Man City | 33% | 4 (3) | 0.89 | 46 |
Port Vale vs Arsenal Stats
Key Stats
| Port Vale | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.74 | Attacking Strength | 1.48 |
| 1.27 | Defence Strength | 0.72 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Port Vale are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Arsenal average 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
Port Vale 13-9
Arsenal 20-8
What are the odds for this match?
Port Vale to win: @21
Draw: @9.5
Arsenal to win: @1.1