Our Arsenal vs Man City Prediction: 1-1
Arsenal vs Man City in the England EFL Cup is scheduled for an 16:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 22, 2026. A 1-1 result is our main prediction, but with both teams likely to score, BTTS is another strong betting choice.
Our prediction is supported by key Arsenal vs Man City stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Arsenal's Last Match – Bayer Leverkusen vs Arsenal
Arsenal will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 UEFA Champions League share of the spoils with Bayer Leverkusen on March 11. In that match, Arsenal recorded 55% possession, attempting 7 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bayer Leverkusen | 45% | 6 (3) | 0.87 | 30 |
 Arsenal | 55% | 7 (2) | 1.64 | 62 |
Man City's Last Match – Real Madrid vs Man City
Man City will hope to recover from their recent 0-3 UEFA Champions League setback against Real Madrid on March 11. In that match, Man City saw 60% of the ball and created 6 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Madrid | 40% | 8 (7) | 2.59 | 24 |
 Man City | 60% | 6 (4) | 0.56 | 74 |
Arsenal vs Man City Stats
Key Stats
| Arsenal | Man City | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.28 | Attacking Strength | 1.22 |
| 0.86 | Defence Strength | 0.45 |
| 2.4 | Points Per Game | 2.3 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 2.1 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Arsenal are averaging 2.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Man City average 2.0 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Arsenal 21-7
Man City 20-11
What are the odds for this match?
Arsenal to win: @2.35
Draw: @3.2
Man City to win: @3
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.9