Our Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction: 1-1
Arsenal vs Chelsea in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 16:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 1, 2026. A 1-1 result is our main prediction, but with both teams likely to score, BTTS is another strong betting choice.
Our prediction is supported by key Arsenal vs Chelsea stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Arsenal's Last Match – Tottenham vs Arsenal
Arsenal will look to carry forward their winning form after a 4-1 England Premier League success over Tottenham on February 22. In that match, Arsenal controlled 61% of possession and managed 12 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tottenham | 39% | 5 (5) | 0.74 | 20 |
 Arsenal | 61% | 12 (7) | 1.93 | 64 |
Chelsea's Last Match – Chelsea vs Burnley
Chelsea will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 England Premier League share of the spoils with Burnley on February 21. In that match, Chelsea recorded 66% possession, firing 7 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chelsea | 66% | 7 (2) | 1.81 | 59 |
 Burnley | 34% | 8 (4) | 0.58 | 28 |
Arsenal vs Chelsea Stats
Key Stats
| Arsenal | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.47 | Attacking Strength | 1.37 |
| 0.56 | Defence Strength | 0.67 |
| 2.3 | Points Per Game | 2.3 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.7 | Average Scored | 2.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Arsenal are averaging 2.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Chelsea average 2.2 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Arsenal 27-10
Chelsea 22-10
What are the odds for this match?
Arsenal to win: @1.571
Draw: @3.9
Chelsea to win: @5.75
Over 2.5 Goals: @2.025
Lineups
Arsenal (4-2-3-1) : David Raya, Jurrien Timber, William Saliba, Gabriel Magalhaes, Piero Hincapie, Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Bukayo Saka, Eberechi Eze, Leandro Trossard, Viktor Gyokeres
Chelsea (4-2-3-1) : Robert Sanchez, Reece James, Mamadou Sarr, Trevoh Chalobah, Jorrel Hato, Moises Caicedo, Andrey Santos, Cole Palmer, Enzo Fernandez, Pedro Neto, Joao Pedro
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