Our Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid Prediction: 2-1
Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday October 21, 2025. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
Our prediction is supported by key Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Arsenal's Last Match – Fulham vs Arsenal
Arsenal will look to carry forward their winning form after a 1-0 England Premier League success over Fulham on October 18. In that match, Arsenal saw 61% of the ball and created 9 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fulham | 39% | 6 (0) | 0.44 | 35 |
 Arsenal | 61% | 9 (5) | 1.87 | 77 |
Atletico Madrid's Last Match – Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna
Atletico Madrid must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 1-0 Spain La Liga victory over Osasuna in their last outing. In that match, Atletico Madrid recorded 59% possession, firing 17 shots at goal, with 9 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atletico Madrid | 59% | 17 (9) | 2.12 | 18 |
 Osasuna | 41% | 5 (2) | 0.91 | 24 |
Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid Stats
Key Stats
| Arsenal | Atletico Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.02 | Attacking Strength | 1.61 |
| 0.37 | Defence Strength | 1.02 |
| 2.5 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 8/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 2.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Arsenal are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per match, while Atletico Madrid average 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.