Arouca vs Nacional Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Arouca vs Nacional Prediction: 1-2

Arouca vs Nacional in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 15:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 21, 2026. We anticipate a 1-2 away victory, but given both teams’ ability to score, BTTS seems like a valuable betting option.

Our prediction is supported by key Arouca vs Nacional stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.

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Recent Form Insights

Arouca's Last Match – Casa Pia vs Arouca

Arouca will look to get back on track following a 2-3 Portugal Primeira Liga loss against Casa Pia on February 14. In that match, Arouca controlled 69% of possession and managed 4 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Casa Pia	31%	8 (3)	2.07	23
Arouca	69%	4 (5)	1.21	48

Nacional's Last Match – Nacional vs FC Porto

Nacional will hope to recover from their recent 0-1 Portugal Primeira Liga setback against FC Porto on February 15. In that match, Nacional had 47% possession and 4 attempts at goal, with 2 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Nacional	47%	4 (2)	0.65	36
FC Porto	53%	8 (1)	0.45	50

Arouca vs Nacional Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Arouca are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Nacional average 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

What are the odds for this match?

Arouca to win: @2.3

Draw: @3.4

Nacional to win: @3

Over 2.5 Goals: @1.95

Lineups

Arouca (4-2-3-1) : Ignacio De Arruabarrena, Tiago Esgaio, Javi Sanchez, Jose Fontán, Bas Kuipers, Taichi Fukui, Espen Van Ee, Alfonso Trezza, Hyun-ju Lee, Nais Djouahra, Barbero

Nacional (4-3-3) : Kaique Pereira, Alan Nunez, Leo Santos, Ze Vitor, Lenny Vallier, Miguel Baeza, Matheus Dias, Chiheb Labidi, Gabriel Veron, Jesus . Ramirez, Paulinho Boia

Arouca Fixtures

Nacional Fixtures