Our America MG vs Vila Nova Prediction: 1-1
America MG vs Vila Nova in the Brazil Serie B is scheduled for an 00:30 GMT kick-off on Thursday October 9, 2025. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
Our prediction is supported by key America MG vs Vila Nova stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
America MG's Last Match – Ferroviaria SP vs America MG
America MG will hope to extend their good run following a 3-1 Brazil Serie B win against Ferroviaria SP on October 4. In that match, America MG controlled 45% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ferroviaria SP | 55% | 6 (2) | 0.95 | 40 |
 America MG | 45% | 7 (5) | 0.86 | 35 |
Vila Nova's Last Match – Vila Nova vs Criciuma
Determined to get back to winning ways, Vila Nova must win after their 1-1 Brazil Serie B draw against Criciuma on October 3. In that match, Vila Nova had 39% possession and 13 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Vila Nova | 39% | 13 (5) | 1 | 53 |
 Criciuma | 61% | 6 (1) | 1.04 | 41 |
America MG vs Vila Nova Stats
Key Stats
| America MG | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | Attacking Strength | 1.1 |
| 1.1 | Defence Strength | 1.09 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
America MG are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Vila Nova average 1.1 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
America MG 11-8
Vila Nova 11-12
What are the odds for this match?
America MG to win: @1.95
Draw: @3.2
Vila Nova to win: @4.2
Lineups
America MG (3-5-2) : Gustavo, Ricardo Silva, Paulinho, Lucas Cavalcante Silva Afonso, Maguinho, Kaua Diniz Rocha, Yago Souza de Santana, Felipe Amaral, Fabinho, Arthur Sousa, Willian
Vila Nova (4-3-3) : Halls, Pedro Henrique de Oliveira Romano, Tiago Pagnussat, Walisson Maia, Willian Formiga, Joao Vieira, Ralf, Igor Henrique, Junior Todinho, Gabriel Buscariol Poveda, Guilherme Parede