Our Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Prediction: 2-1
Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United in the Australia A-League is scheduled for an 08:35 GMT kick-off on Friday February 27, 2026. We’re backing a 2-1 home win, but with both sides regularly hitting the scoreboard, BTTS is a strong option for bettors.
This Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Melbourne Victory's Last Match – Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-1 Australia A-League victory over Melbourne City in their last outing. In that match, Melbourne Victory recorded 44% possession, firing 17 shots at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Melbourne City | 56% | 6 (4) | 1.26 | 46 |
 Melbourne Victory | 44% | 17 (7) | 1.63 | 48 |
Adelaide United's Last Match – Adelaide United vs Perth Glory
Adelaide United will want to continue their winning form after a 4-0 Australia A-League victory over Perth Glory, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Adelaide United had 50% possession and 12 attempts at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adelaide United | 50% | 12 (6) | 1.71 | 50 |
 Perth Glory | 50% | 4 (0) | 1 | 51 |
Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Stats
Key Stats
| Melbourne Victory | Adelaide United | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Attacking Strength | 0.93 |
| 0.66 | Defence Strength | 1 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 2.1 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Melbourne Victory are averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Adelaide United average 2.0 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Melbourne Victory 21-11
Adelaide United 20-16
What are the odds for this match?
Melbourne Victory to win: @1.571
Draw: @4.5
Adelaide United to win: @5
Lineups
Melbourne Victory (4-2-3-1) : Jack Warshawsky, Joshua James Rawlins, Sebastian Esposito, Roderick Miranda, Jason Davidson, Jordi Valadon, Denis Genreau, Nishan Velupillay, Juan Mata, Keegan Jelacic, Charles Nduka
Adelaide United (4-4-2) : Joshua Smits, Jay Barnett, Bart Vriends, Panagiotis Kikianis, Ryan Kitto, Jonny Yull, Ethan Alagich, Ryan White, Yaya Dukuly, Juan Muniz, Luka Jovanovic
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