Our Malaga vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction: 2-1
Malaga vs AD Ceuta FC in the Spain Segunda is scheduled for an 15:15 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 11, 2026. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
This Malaga vs AD Ceuta FC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Malaga's Last Match – Sporting Gijon vs Malaga
Malaga will want to continue their winning form after a 3-1 Spain Segunda victory over Sporting Gijon, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Malaga recorded 48% possession, firing 6 shots at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sporting Gijon | 52% | 5 (3) | 1.48 | 88 |
 Malaga | 48% | 6 (7) | 0.99 | 37 |
AD Ceuta FC's Last Match – AD Ceuta FC vs FC Andorra
AD Ceuta FC will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 2-1 Spain Segunda victory over FC Andorra on January 4. In that match, AD Ceuta FC recorded 33% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 AD Ceuta FC | 33% | 6 (6) | 1.76 | 38 |
 FC Andorra | 67% | 8 (6) | 1.44 | 50 |
Malaga vs AD Ceuta FC Stats
Key Stats
| Malaga | AD Ceuta FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Attacking Strength | 0.85 |
| 0.93 | Defence Strength | 1.09 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 9/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Malaga are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while AD Ceuta FC average 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Malaga 17-14
AD Ceuta FC 13-11
What are the odds for this match?
Malaga to win: @2.15
Draw: @3.3
AD Ceuta FC to win: @3.4
Lineups
Malaga (4-4-2) : Alfonso Herrero, Carlos Francisco Puga Medina, Diego Murillo, Einar Galilea, Rafita, David Larrubia, Izan Merino, Dani Lorenzo, Joaquin Munoz, Chupete, Carlos Dotor
AD Ceuta FC (4-3-3) : Guillermo Vallejo Delgado, Anuar, Carlos Hernandez, Diego Gonzalez, Jose Matos, Ruben Diez, Youness Lachhab, Cristian Rodriguez, Aisar Ahmed Ahmed, Kuki Zalazar, Kialy Abdoul Kone
Racing Santander 
Almeria 
CD Castellon 
Deportivo La Coruna 
Las Palmas 
Malaga 
Burgos 
AD Ceuta FC 
Sporting Gijon 
Eibar 
Cordoba 
FC Andorra 
Real Sociedad B 
Albacete 
Granada 
Cadiz 
Leganes 
Valladolid 
Huesca 
Cultural Leonesa 
Real Zaragoza 
Mirandes